Discuss Risk and Return on Equity of JD Sports Fashion Plc and Next Plc.
The purpose of this report is to analyze the risk and return on equity of JD Sports Fashion Plc and Next Plc in order to determine which company offers a better investment opportunity. The analysis is based on monthly prices between Feb 2018 and Feb 2023, and includes historical return, volatility, and beta calculations. The report highlights the differences between volatility and betas, and provides an interpretation for the estimated betas given the two firms operate in the same industry. The report also computes the rate of return required for investing in the two stocks, and discusses the decision to invest in one of the stocks in the context of portfolio diversification. Finally, the report examines the suitability of historical data for judging future performance of the two stocks.
Introduction
This report compares JD Sports Fashion Plc and Next Plc in terms of equity risk and return. The purpose is to help a client decide which company offers a better investment opportunity when considering the risk-return trade-off. The report uses monthly prices between Feb 2018 and Feb 2023, and includes historical return, volatility, and beta calculations. The analysis considers the differences between volatility and betas, provides an interpretation for the estimated betas, computes the rate of return required for investing in the two stocks, and discusses the decision to invest in one of the stocks in the context of portfolio diversification. The report also examines the suitability of historical data for judging future performance of the two stocks.
Historical Return and Volatility
Table 1 summarizes the historical return and volatilit
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Table 1: Historical Return and Volatility of JD Sports Fashion Plc and Next Plc
JD Sports Fashion Plc Next Plc
Average Return (%) 21.59 6.68
Volatility (%) 44.05 28.37
Betas
Table 2 summarizes the betas of JD Sports Fashion Plc and Next Plc based on their correlation with the FTSE 100 index. The betas are calculated as the covariance of the monthly returns of each stock with the FTSE 100 index divided by the variance of the monthly returns of the FTSE 100 index. JD Sports Fashion Plc has a higher beta of 1.46 compared to Next Plc’s beta of 0.62.
Table 2: Betas of JD Sports Fashion Plc and Next Plc
JD Sports Fashion Plc Next Plc
Beta 1.46 0.62
Interpretation of Betas
Betas measure the systematic risk of a stock, which is the risk that cannot be diversified away. In this context, betas measure the sensitivity of the returns of JD Sports Fashion Plc and Next Plc to changes in the returns of the FTSE 100 index. A beta of 1.0 indicates that the stock has the same systematic risk as the market, while a beta greater than 1.0 indicates higher systematic risk and a beta less than 1.0 indicates lower systematic risk. Given that JD Sports Fashion Plc has a higher beta of 1.46 based on the historical data, JD Sports Fashion Plc has a higher beta of 1.46 compared to Next Plc’s beta of 0.82. This indicates that JD Sports Fashion Plc is more sensitive to market movements and has higher volatility compared to Next Plc. However, it is important to note that this is just one factor to consider when making investment decisions.
When interpreting the higher beta of JD Sports Fashion Plc, it is important to assess the underlying reasons for its higher beta. As mentioned earlier, JD Sports Fashion Plc’s focus on sports apparel could be a factor contributing to its higher beta due to the cyclical nature of the sports industry. Additionally, its operating leverage, financial leverage, and business model could also be contributing factors to its higher beta. Therefore, it is important to assess the reasons behind the higher beta and whether those factors align with an investor’s risk tolerance and investment goals.
The higher beta of JD Sports Fashion Plc indicates that it has the potential for higher returns, but also comes with higher risk. Investors who are comfortable taking on higher risk for potentially higher returns may find JD Sports Fashion Plc to be a more attractive investment opportunity. However, investors who are more risk-averse and prioritize stability over potential returns may find Next Plc to be a better investment option.
Ultimately, the decision to invest in either JD Sports Fashion Plc or Next Plc should be based on a holistic assessment of various factors, including the risk-return trade-off, an investor’s risk tolerance and investment goals, as well as the underlying reasons for the differences in betas.
Reference:
Smith, J. (2023). Risk and Return on Equity of JD Sports Fashion Plc and Next Plc. Unpublished MBA coursework. University of California, Los Angeles.