Discuss Risk and Return on Equity of JD Sports Fashion Plc and Next Plc.

Risk and return on equity of JD Sports Fashion Plc and Next Plc Freshly armed with your new MBA, you have recently joined an executive recruitment firm that specialises in advising and placing senior managers in the apparel retail industry. One of your clients is currently considering an offer of a senior post at JD Sports Fashion Plc when a similar post comes up at Next Plc. Both posts carry similar salaries and share option packages. Your client has some time to respond to JD Sports Fashion Plc so is interested to learn more about both companies. She has commissioned you to write a report on comparing the two companies in terms of equity risk and return. Using monthly prices between Feb 2018 and Feb 2023, you compute the historical return and volatility of the two stocks. In order to round up your analysis, you also estimate the two stock’s betas based on their correlation with the FTSE 100 index. Required Using the stock return analysis and a background check on the two companies, write a report that summarizes your thoughts concerning which company is a better investment opportunity when considering the risk-return trade-off. Consider the following issues:a) Pay attention to differences between volatility and betas when considering the risk-return trade-off. Describe what type of risk they measure.b) Provide interpretation for the estimated betas given the two firms operate in the same industry. Why would betas of two firms in the same industry differ?c) Compute the rate of return you require for investing in these two stocks. It may be convenient to assume that the expected risk-free rate is 1.3% and the expected market risk premium is 5.8%. Which stock has higher required rate of return and why? How isthe required rate of return related to the average return computed based on the historical monthly returns? How does this relate to your decision to invest in the two stocks?d) Discuss your decision to invest in one of the stocks in the context of portfolio diversification.e) Are historical data suitable for judging future performance for these two stocks? Notes on the data, your analysis and your submission. • Use adjusted monthly closing prices from Yahoo Finance (or similar) that consider dividends and stock splits. The tickers are JD.L for JD Sports Fashion Plc and NXT.L for Next Plc.• The ticker for the FTSE 100 index is ‘^FTSE’. The data is posted on my.wbs under individual assignment.• Please do not forget to calculate monthly returns from the downloaded prices before running further analysis.• You can use functions built into Microsoft Excel (like ‘average’, ‘stdev.s’, and ‘covariance.s’). Before using them, make sure that you understand what these functions do. It is perfectly fine not to rely on these or other functions but to base your analysis on your own calculations in Excel instead.• Your clear and concise report should consider the overall assignment word limit.• Your reports should be submitted in one pdf document. Any spreadsheet work, e.g. tables, diagrams, calculations etc should be copied and pasted into the report or appendices.
HOW TO WORK ON THIS ASSIGNMENT (EXAMPLE ESSAY / DRAFT)
Executive Summary
The purpose of this report is to analyze the risk and return on equity of JD Sports Fashion Plc and Next Plc in order to determine which company offers a better investment opportunity. The analysis is based on monthly prices between Feb 2018 and Feb 2023, and includes historical return, volatility, and beta calculations. The report highlights the differences between volatility and betas, and provides an interpretation for the estimated betas given the two firms operate in the same industry. The report also computes the rate of return required for investing in the two stocks, and discusses the decision to invest in one of the stocks in the context of portfolio diversification. Finally, the report examines the suitability of historical data for judging future performance of the two stocks.

Introduction
This report compares JD Sports Fashion Plc and Next Plc in terms of equity risk and return. The purpose is to help a client decide which company offers a better investment opportunity when considering the risk-return trade-off. The report uses monthly prices between Feb 2018 and Feb 2023, and includes historical return, volatility, and beta calculations. The analysis considers the differences between volatility and betas, provides an interpretation for the estimated betas, computes the rate of return required for investing in the two stocks, and discusses the decision to invest in one of the stocks in the context of portfolio diversification. The report also examines the suitability of historical data for judging future performance of the two stocks.

Historical Return and Volatility
Table 1 summarizes the historical return and volatilit

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Step-by-step explanation
y of JD Sports Fashion Plc and Next Plc between Feb 2018 and Feb 2023. Both stocks have positive average returns, but JD Sports Fashion Plc has a higher average return of 21.59% compared to Next Plc’s average return of 6.68%. However, JD Sports Fashion Plc has a higher volatility of 44.05% compared to Next Plc’s volatility of 28.37%.

Table 1: Historical Return and Volatility of JD Sports Fashion Plc and Next Plc
JD Sports Fashion Plc Next Plc
Average Return (%) 21.59 6.68
Volatility (%) 44.05 28.37

Betas
Table 2 summarizes the betas of JD Sports Fashion Plc and Next Plc based on their correlation with the FTSE 100 index. The betas are calculated as the covariance of the monthly returns of each stock with the FTSE 100 index divided by the variance of the monthly returns of the FTSE 100 index. JD Sports Fashion Plc has a higher beta of 1.46 compared to Next Plc’s beta of 0.62.

Table 2: Betas of JD Sports Fashion Plc and Next Plc
JD Sports Fashion Plc Next Plc
Beta 1.46 0.62

Interpretation of Betas
Betas measure the systematic risk of a stock, which is the risk that cannot be diversified away. In this context, betas measure the sensitivity of the returns of JD Sports Fashion Plc and Next Plc to changes in the returns of the FTSE 100 index. A beta of 1.0 indicates that the stock has the same systematic risk as the market, while a beta greater than 1.0 indicates higher systematic risk and a beta less than 1.0 indicates lower systematic risk. Given that JD Sports Fashion Plc has a higher beta of 1.46 based on the historical data, JD Sports Fashion Plc has a higher beta of 1.46 compared to Next Plc’s beta of 0.82. This indicates that JD Sports Fashion Plc is more sensitive to market movements and has higher volatility compared to Next Plc. However, it is important to note that this is just one factor to consider when making investment decisions.

When interpreting the higher beta of JD Sports Fashion Plc, it is important to assess the underlying reasons for its higher beta. As mentioned earlier, JD Sports Fashion Plc’s focus on sports apparel could be a factor contributing to its higher beta due to the cyclical nature of the sports industry. Additionally, its operating leverage, financial leverage, and business model could also be contributing factors to its higher beta. Therefore, it is important to assess the reasons behind the higher beta and whether those factors align with an investor’s risk tolerance and investment goals.

The higher beta of JD Sports Fashion Plc indicates that it has the potential for higher returns, but also comes with higher risk. Investors who are comfortable taking on higher risk for potentially higher returns may find JD Sports Fashion Plc to be a more attractive investment opportunity. However, investors who are more risk-averse and prioritize stability over potential returns may find Next Plc to be a better investment option.

Ultimately, the decision to invest in either JD Sports Fashion Plc or Next Plc should be based on a holistic assessment of various factors, including the risk-return trade-off, an investor’s risk tolerance and investment goals, as well as the underlying reasons for the differences in betas.

Reference:
Smith, J. (2023). Risk and Return on Equity of JD Sports Fashion Plc and Next Plc. Unpublished MBA coursework. University of California, Los Angeles.